تأثیرگذاری تورم و نابرابری اقتصادی در افزایش جرم سرقت (رهیافت کاپیولا)

نوع مقاله : علمی پژوهشی

نویسندگان

• سعید کیان پور ¹
• امیرعلی فرهنگ ¹
• محسن حاجیان ²

¹ استادیار، گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران

² دانشجوی دوره کارشناسی ارشد، گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.

10.22067/economlaw.2024.84999.1323

چکیده

ایران کشوری است که در طی سال‌های اخیر افزایش نرخ تورم و ضریب جینی را تجربه کرده و به دنبال آن تحت تأثیر اثرات اقتصادی و اجتماعی آن قرار گرفته است. جرم سرقت یکی از انواع جرایم اجتماعی و علیه اموال محسوب شده و یکی از عوامل اصلی کاهش رفاه اجتماعی می‌باشد. در طی سال‌های اخیر در ایران سرقت افزایش داشته و سبب به وجود آمدن بحران‌های اجتماعی شده است. در این پژوهش تلاش شده است که عوامل مهم اقتصادی افزایش جرم سرقت در ایران (نرخ تورم و ضریب جینی) طی سال‌های 1390-1401 و با رویکرد جدید کاپیولا بررسی و تحلیل شوند. تعادل نش با مقدار تقریبی 9307/0 نشان‌دهنده تناسب میان کاپیولا مارشال اولمین با داده‌ها بوده و تعادل نش ضریب جینی و جرم سرقت با میزان تقریبی 9032/0 نیز نشان‌دهنده تناسب میان کاپیولا فیشر هینزمن با داده‌ها می‌باشد. نتایج و یافته‌های پژوهش نقش اثرگذار تورم و نابرابری اقتصادی بر افزایش جرم سرقت را اثبات می‌کند. بر این اساس لازم است که سیاست‌های مقابله با افزایش تورم و نابرابری اقتصادی مورد توجه سیاست‌گذاران قرار گرفته و اعمال شوند؛ زیرا با کاهش تورم و نابرابری اقتصادی امکان کاهش جرم سرقت وجود خواهد داشت.

کلیدواژه‌ها

• بزه‌های اجتماعی
• جرایم علیه اموال
• ضریب جینی
• تورم
• کاپیولا

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